Inflation, tariffs
Digest more
Trump announces trade deal with Indonesia, 19% tariff
Digest more
A number of factors, including a lack of significant gains in auto prices, are masking the extent of the shift.
Inflation is moving higher and the impact of tariffs are only beginning to show up in government data, likely keeping interest rates on hold.
Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler said the Fed should hold interest rates steady for a while to come, because new trade barriers are likely to spark more inflation in the months ahead. Speaking at a housing conference in Washington,
President Donald Trump may ultimately get his wish for lower interest rates, but it isn’t likely to be the result of his intensifying criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
The Indian rupee is set to open weaker on Wednesday after June U.S. inflation data hinted at tariff-driven price pressures, prompting markets to scale back bets of Federal Reserve rate cuts and pushing the dollar and U.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why I’m skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
A whiff of tariff inflation showed up in economic data this week, providing the first clues of how tariff policy might impact prices and the economy.
While Tuesday's focus was on the tariff-related inflation hit to Treasuries, it's been a rough week for government bonds everywhere - especially in Japan as long-term yields there hit new highs this week ahead of the July 20 upper house election and related fiscal policy worries.