The field of economic models and forecasting encompasses the development and application of theoretical, empirical and computational frameworks to predict future economic outcomes. These models range ...

States and financial bodies using modelling that ignores shocks from extreme weather and climate tipping points ...

AFTER missed growth targets and miscalculated forecast estimates brought about by negative shocks, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) alongside the Philippine economic team, should find better ways ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Quantitative Finance Program Director, at Stevens Inst. of Technology This is not a new diagnosis. There is today a hapless ...

Stock markets are essential for households for wealth creation and for firms for raising financial resources for capacity ...

It has been especially difficult to get a read on the current state of this economy, ever since the government shutdown started last week and agencies in Washington stopped delivering economic data.

Domenico Giannone, an internationally recognized thought leader in econometrics and macroeconomic forecasting, is searching for innovative methods to better understand the complexities of global ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Structural economic models, while parsimonious and interpretable, often exhibit poor data fit and limited forecasting performance. Machine learning models, by contrast, offer substantial flexibility ...

Planning for the future has never been as vital — nor as daunting — as it is today. The past five years have demonstrated just how tumultuous the construction industry can be – from supply chain ...