Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

Over the last week, Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.4% this week from 4.28% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.77%, compared with 4.6% last week. As a result, the current 2-year/10-year ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

In macroeconomics, the yield curve is used to forecast the probability of a recession. When the curve becomes inverted, it means that short-term yields are higher than long-term yields which, up until ...

There’s been a major change in one of the bond market’s favorite indicators: the yield curve. After roughly two years of “inversion,” yields are now behaving like they do most of the time, with longer ...

The yield curve disinverted this week, suggesting an economic recession may be near. Historically, yield curve disinversions have preceded every economic recession since 1976. Investors are reacting ...

A critical bond market indicator is flashing red, reigniting fears of a potential stock market collapse. The yield differential between the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond and three-month Treasury bills, ...