The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...

The Treasury yield curve has witnessed substantial volatility in recent weeks as a result of multiple shocks, mostly related to Fed interest rate expectations, the dangers of a recession, and the ...

The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with ...

Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

NEW YORK (AP) — One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession started blinking again. The “yield curve” is watched for clues on how the bond market feels about the long-term ...

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A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

Every yield curve "situation" has a series of people explaining why the yield curve doesn't matter this time, or arguing over which specific yield curve to care about. See thread and charts below.

Indicators like GDP and unemployment show the economy remains intact. But forward-looking indicators continue to point to an imminent downturn. We've compiled 14 charts that show why investors should ...