A humped yield curve is a relatively rare type of yield curve that results when the interest rates on medium-term fixed income securities are higher than the rates of both long and short-term ...

It is widely known that markets can be influenced by economic data releases that deviate significantly from consensus. We have quantified the impact of economic surprises on the US government bond ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

The possibility of a U.S. recession remains significant and may be growing stronger, indicated by a recent change in the yield curve. Economist Campbell Harvey predicts slower economic growth in the U ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

Stocks made new record highs, with the S&P 500 setting an intraday high of 5,261.10 and a closing high of 5,241.53 on Thursday. For the week, the S&P increased 2.3% to close at 5,234.18. The index is ...

Ever since Trump announced his trade war and Wall Street goliaths like J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs said that they did not price Trump’s signature policy into their market expectations, the yield ...

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JANUARY 09: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on January 09, 2023 in New York City. The stock market closed with mixed results ...

Discover how the spot rate Treasury curve—a yield curve from Treasury spot rates—serves as a critical tool for bond pricing and market predictions.

The countdown to an economic recession as begun after the 3-month and 10-year yield curve finally inverted. Research firm TS Lombard expects a recession to hit the US economy within the next 12 months ...

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