Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Making wealth creation easy, accessible and transparent. A yield curve sheds light on what many people view as the economy's ...

This week's simulation shows that inverted yields are a 93.4% probability through August 2023. Details below. Excel summaries of the simulation results for 3-month T-bills and the 10-year Treasury are ...

The Treasury curve was down 11 basis points at 2 years and was down 8 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed to negative ...