The view that the Chinese leadership was desperate to negotiate a trade deal, to avoid economic pain that could destabilize Chinese society and threaten the Chinese Communist Party’s monopoly on power, is common among China hawks in the United States. This analysis is partly accurate, but it has led many to draw false conclusions.

That stubbornness has given China unaccustomed power over America’s immediate economic fate. If it reaches out to Mr Trump, the worst could be averted. If it does not, the storm will soon return. All signs suggest China’s leaders are not ready to relieve the suspense just yet. They may even be quite enjoying it.