There’s a significantly elevated chance that a U.S. recession will begin within the next 12 months. The odds are roughly one ...

While a number of economic indicators show U.S. recession risks remain elevated, some states are more equipped than others to handle a potential downturn, based on their economic strength, diversity ...

Malanga remains cautiously optimistic on inflation: “Productivity growth, the benefits of deregulation, and weak demand will ...

The longer the heavily touted U.S. recession fails to materialize, ... The elusive US recession and its 'misleading' indicators. Jamie McGeever. July 11, 2023 6:30 AM UTC Updated July 11, 2023 ...

Real recession indicators. There are actual, measurable recession indicators, of course. According to Morningstar, an investment research and management services firm, these include: ...

There are indicators that suggest a recession is imminent, but also some that suggest there won’t be one. With all of the headlines about how tariffs could hurt the economy, you may wonder if we ...

Five Recession Indicators Now Raising Alarm in the U.S. Photo-illustration by Newsweek/Getty Preliminary results for the University of Michigan's widely watched Consumer Sentiment Index also ...

While the recession indicator trope is not new — the viral tweet from a dancer linking declining strip club attendance and U.S. economic health was posted in 2022 — the 2025 meme strain specifically ...

Although the U.S. economy and stock market grow over long periods, their short-term performance can be unpredictable. Three leading recession indicators, with flawless track records spanning 56 ...

The U.S. Treasury Yield-Curve Recession Indicator Is Flashing Red Yield-curve inversion is at its most extreme since the 1981-82 recession. Tom Lauricella Nov 17, 2022 ...

US leading indicators slip in May, ... California, U.S., May 15, 2025. ... A measure of future U.S. economic activity fell in May for the sixth straight month and triggered a recession signal, ...

More indicators came last week: The US economy shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter, the biggest drop in GDP since 2022, and weekly jobless claims surged to 241,000, up 18,000 from the previous week.