There's now a 40% chance for a tropical or subtropical depression forming near Florida by the Fourth of July holiday weekend.

The potential for heavy rain and tropical development on July 4th and through the weekend means the First Warning Weather team is calling for Impact Weather July 4-6.A very wet weather pattern is shaping up this week,

While water temperatures are warm enough in the Gulf to support tropical development, Saharan dust and wind shear could keep tropics quiet .. sort of.